Should Election Polls Be Banned?
Tuesday, January 08, 2008 Filed in: Ideas
Polls, such as those used to predict winners and
losers in political races, should be banned. Let's
poll after the fact.
Hillary Clinton's upset victory in New Hampshire notwithstanding, polling the electorate to determine winners and losers ahead of an election can't be a good idea, accurate or otherwise.
Actually, one should not have an issue with the polling. It's the results of the polls which cause all the grief.
Apparently, voters in New Hampshire were tired of being told who would win their election, and were tired of Senator Clinton being bashed by her foes, competitors, and the media.
Do opinion polls affect the outcome of elections? Some may argue a resounding yes, and with some confidence and accuracy. Most people prefer to vote for winners, and most prefer not to vote for losers. If you already know the winner, and the loser, then why bother?
Make it illegal to 'publish, broadcast, or distribute' in any form, polling results until after an election when winners and losers are announced. What effect would that have on the vote?
That's difficult to determine, but it's possible that terms such as front-runner, and bandwagon might disappear from the nightly news' description of an election campaign.
There is little doubt that pre-election poll results affect voter turnout. Some voters stay home. But in a close race, other voters may turn out in support of a candidate that has a chance.
In the absence of polling results, news media outlets would resort to compiling a list of candidates and how much money has been donated to their respective campaigns.
Win or lose, Americans just love a list of something.
Hillary Clinton's upset victory in New Hampshire notwithstanding, polling the electorate to determine winners and losers ahead of an election can't be a good idea, accurate or otherwise.
Actually, one should not have an issue with the polling. It's the results of the polls which cause all the grief.
Apparently, voters in New Hampshire were tired of being told who would win their election, and were tired of Senator Clinton being bashed by her foes, competitors, and the media.
Do opinion polls affect the outcome of elections? Some may argue a resounding yes, and with some confidence and accuracy. Most people prefer to vote for winners, and most prefer not to vote for losers. If you already know the winner, and the loser, then why bother?
Make it illegal to 'publish, broadcast, or distribute' in any form, polling results until after an election when winners and losers are announced. What effect would that have on the vote?
That's difficult to determine, but it's possible that terms such as front-runner, and bandwagon might disappear from the nightly news' description of an election campaign.
There is little doubt that pre-election poll results affect voter turnout. Some voters stay home. But in a close race, other voters may turn out in support of a candidate that has a chance.
In the absence of polling results, news media outlets would resort to compiling a list of candidates and how much money has been donated to their respective campaigns.
Win or lose, Americans just love a list of something.